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bandito28s Blog
Starting Lineup - Part 3 (03/04/2017 05:36)

Now, this is, so far particular to my particular team - how far is my team truly away from being able to compete in D1?  It doesn't take a rocket scientist to look at my team to say that I'm pretty far away from fielding a team that has a chance, but the larger queston would be - what should I be shooting for, and how in the world would I know if I'm on the right track?  For that, I dug into the data a bit more and came up with a range of numbers for each age.   

 

  17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Bottom D1 73.00 78.00 81.00 84.00 87.00 89.00 90.00 91.00 92.00 93.00 93.00 94.00
Mid D1 75.81 79.32 82.46 86.19 88.53 90.60 92.18 93.45 94.31 94.97 95.26 95.46
Top D1 77.00 81.00 84.00 88.00 90.00 92.00 93.00 94.00 95.00 96.00 96.00 97.00

 

So, as an example, I would want a 20 year old to be somewhere between Q84 and Q88. An average 20 year old in D1 is 86.19. I have 2 20 year olds right now, one that is at 86.20 (good) and one that is 82.917 (not so good). Not scientific by any means, but this gives me a rough guideline as to whether my new players are on track.

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Starting Lineup - Part 2 (24/03/2017 03:59)

So, I decided to go further, and took a deeper look at the Q level for starting level players. The identification of who is a starting level player is obviously subjective, but I took out any player who was obviously an oldie trainer, and youth below 20.  I also took out any player who did not reach a Q of 92 by age 28, as they would not have been a starter or reserve on any team.  With that list of players, I went back through each player's history to see what their Q was at the end of each season, and got the following chart of average Q by position, by age:

 

 

Position 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Goaltender 75.84 79.47 82.42 85.95 88.11 90.11 91.82 93.35 94.06 94.63 94.88 94.79
Defender 75.88 79.25 82.40 86.08 88.22 90.41 91.88 93.14 94.00 94.72 95.12 95.27
Midfielder 76.27 79.76 82.85 86.42 88.88 90.84 92.49 93.74 94.76 95.33 95.55 95.95
Attacker 74.90 78.62 81.92 86.10 88.74 90.81 92.36 93.56 94.22 95.03 95.30 95.35

 

It has definitely opened my eyes some, as I wasn't personally expecting that there was such a wide gap between what I had been doing previously, and what the D1 teams have been doing.  Looking at the chart, across all positions, in order to have players that are the average D1 US starter, the potential player should be (on average): By 19, ~Q82, by 22, ~Q90, and by 24, ~Q93.  I'm curious to see that if my division (D2-4) made an all star team of players, that if we had enough players to even field a team that can compete.  My guess would be no.

 

 

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Average Statring Lineup for D1 USA Teams - 3/11/17 (11/03/2017 22:27)

 I decided to play around with numbers today, and wanted to figure out the average D1 USA team.  I picked the top 12 teams, and averaged out what are the attributes for that position.  I came up with the following:

 

Average Starting Lineup D1 - USA (3/11/17)
Age Name Q Kp Tk Pa Sh He Sp St Pe Bc
30.92 Goaltender 1 94.42 96.83 71.58 89.75 62.42 63.83 93.92 88.25 95.17 88.42
30.08 Defender 1 95.94 49.17 97.50 94.58 62.25 93.50 96.08 95.83 90.33 88.83
29.92 Defender 2 95.06 50.92 97.17 91.42 61.25 93.17 95.00 96.25 88.08 87.58
29.33 Defender 3 94.89 48.58 97.00 92.00 60.50 92.50 95.00 95.08 87.75 88.00
29.58 Defender 4 94.31 50.25 96.67 90.58 62.33 92.75 95.08 94.42 86.75 86.08
29.50 Midfielder 1 96.63 47.83 96.67 97.17 96.33 86.00 97.00 93.75 82.08 91.17
29.08 Midfielder 2 96.07 49.33 95.17 97.08 96.17 83.83 95.83 93.58 81.75 90.58
29.75 Midfielder 3 95.37 48.92 94.33 96.75 94.67 84.92 94.75 93.42 79.75 90.50
31.67 Midfielder 4 94.56 48.92 93.00 96.67 93.25 83.83 94.25 91.75 78.42 89.25
29.58 Attacker 1 95.81 49.00 76.67 87.00 97.58 96.67 96.08 84.50 95.08 90.67
30.08 Attacker 2 94.94 49.33 72.25 85.42 97.08 95.67 95.17 82.92 93.67 90.50
Average Starting Q
(11 Players) :
95.27                

 

 

Average Reserves D1 - USA (3/11/17)
Age Name Q Kp Tk Pa Sh He Sp St Pe Bc
28.58 Goaltender 2 87.13 90.67 54.25 75.83 55.42 51.83 88.17 80.42 87.67 81.25
31.33 Defender 5 91.79 45.75 95.67 86.00 60.08 88.50 91.58 92.25 83.75 84.67
28.83 Defender 6 88.53 43.42 92.58 80.92 52.67 84.58 88.83 90.67 81.17 80.67
30.58 Midfielder 5 90.72 44.58 88.75 94.58 88.58 78.75 89.92 86.25 73.83 83.50
27.33 Attacker 3 90.38 46.17 64.00 74.92 93.42 91.83 91.83 77.17 89.17 84.33
Average Team Q
(16 Players) :
93.53                
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